← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University2.60+5.09vs Predicted
-
2Yale University2.90+3.10vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University2.61+3.00vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island1.94+4.27vs Predicted
-
5Yale University2.82+0.58vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University2.20+1.46vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont1.77+1.84vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island2.28-0.80vs Predicted
-
9Dartmouth College2.62-2.96vs Predicted
-
10Boston College2.47-3.33vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University0.78+0.63vs Predicted
-
12Roger Williams University2.68-5.88vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-3.88vs Predicted
-
14Maine Maritime Academy0.25-1.21vs Predicted
-
15Maine Maritime Academy0.06-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.09Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
-
5.1Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
-
6.0Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
-
8.27University of Rhode Island1.940.0%1st Place
-
5.58Yale University2.820.1%1st Place
-
7.46Tufts University2.200.1%1st Place
-
8.84University of Vermont1.770.1%1st Place
-
7.2University of Rhode Island2.280.1%1st Place
-
6.04Dartmouth College2.620.1%1st Place
-
6.67Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
-
11.63Northeastern University0.780.0%1st Place
-
6.12Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
-
9.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
-
12.79Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
-
13.08Maine Maritime Academy0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Dochoda | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 12.8% | 15.0% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Charlie Hibben | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schryver | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 5.1% | 0.9% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 11.7% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Keller | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 6.0% | 2.3% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 7.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Noah Simmons | 9.9% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| William Crane | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 18.2% | 22.2% | 16.6% |
| Preston Duclos | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Caelan Juckniess | 3.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 7.3% | 2.7% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 12.3% | 28.0% | 32.4% |
| Thomas Dugan | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 12.8% | 21.5% | 43.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.