Race 2B

atlantic-coast-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
John Renehan 11.5% 13.8% 11.5% 12.1% 13.9% 13.0% 10.1% 10.1% 4.0%
Ben Greenfield 26.0% 22.7% 17.3% 12.7% 10.2% 5.2% 3.3% 2.1% 0.5%
Rian Bareuther 7.9% 10.4% 10.2% 12.4% 11.7% 13.3% 13.1% 13.4% 7.6%
Phoebe Sprague 6.8% 7.6% 10.4% 10.0% 10.8% 13.6% 13.2% 15.2% 12.4%
Eric Decesar 11.2% 12.7% 13.9% 11.1% 12.5% 10.7% 11.6% 8.9% 7.4%
D.J. Hatch 13.9% 11.5% 13.4% 14.9% 12.1% 13.5% 10.3% 6.5% 3.9%
Philip Alley 12.9% 12.2% 13.9% 15.4% 11.9% 12.5% 10.5% 7.2% 3.5%
Mildred Conroy 5.1% 5.8% 5.2% 6.5% 9.5% 9.8% 14.9% 18.8% 24.4%
John Croll 4.7% 3.3% 4.2% 4.9% 7.4% 8.4% 13.0% 17.8% 36.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.