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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.42+1.58vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College-0.13+8.87vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.85+2.74vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.31+2.64vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.19-1.47vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75+2.68vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.49+1.88vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii0.51+1.17vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy0.20+0.83vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.07-2.83vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island-0.20+0.13vs Predicted
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12Tulane University0.51-3.39vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.18-6.07vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida0.99-6.49vs Predicted
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15Princeton University-0.79-2.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.58Yale University2.4233.1%1st Place
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10.87Connecticut College-0.131.5%1st Place
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5.74Brown University1.858.5%1st Place
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6.64Roger Williams University1.315.6%1st Place
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3.53Stanford University2.1921.6%1st Place
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8.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.753.1%1st Place
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8.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.492.7%1st Place
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9.17University of Hawaii0.512.6%1st Place
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9.83Maine Maritime Academy0.201.8%1st Place
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7.17George Washington University1.075.0%1st Place
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11.13University of Rhode Island-0.201.4%1st Place
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8.61Tulane University0.512.9%1st Place
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6.93Northeastern University1.184.5%1st Place
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7.51University of South Florida0.995.1%1st Place
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12.72Princeton University-0.790.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 33.1% | 24.8% | 18.1% | 11.5% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 17.4% | 15.2% |
| Laura Hamilton | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Tavia Smith | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Sophie Fisher | 21.6% | 18.2% | 17.0% | 13.9% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 3.4% |
| Ella Demand | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 3.3% |
| Martha Schuessler | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 4.5% |
| Ella Beauregard | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 8.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 17.8% | 16.8% |
| Mira Herlihy | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 2.9% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Kalea Woodard | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 16.7% | 43.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.