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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.20+6.17vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.90+3.01vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.68+2.73vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.88+7.13vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.62+1.05vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.60+0.05vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.47-0.67vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.77+0.63vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.94-0.95vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.82-4.53vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.28-3.94vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.78-0.32vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy0.25-0.28vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.06-1.06vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.61-9.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.17Tufts University2.200.1%1st Place
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5.01Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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5.73Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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11.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.880.0%1st Place
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6.05Dartmouth College2.620.1%1st Place
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6.05Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
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6.33Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
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8.63University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
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8.05University of Rhode Island1.940.0%1st Place
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5.47Yale University2.820.1%1st Place
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7.06University of Rhode Island2.280.1%1st Place
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11.68Northeastern University0.780.0%1st Place
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12.72Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
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12.94Maine Maritime Academy0.060.0%1st Place
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5.96Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Keller | 7.6% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 12.7% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Preston Duclos | 10.7% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kaller | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 13.6% | 17.2% | 16.7% | 12.0% |
| Noah Simmons | 9.3% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Dochoda | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 9.8% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Matthew Schryver | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 11.5% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 6.6% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| William Crane | 1.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 17.8% | 21.3% | 15.1% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 8.4% | 13.8% | 24.8% | 32.1% |
| Thomas Dugan | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 14.7% | 22.3% | 37.0% |
| Charlie Hibben | 9.8% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.