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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.61+5.08vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.68+3.77vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.20+4.36vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.28+3.18vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.47+1.67vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.82-0.54vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.90-1.83vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.94+0.27vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.77-0.18vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.60-3.75vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-2.09vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy0.25+1.01vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.62-6.62vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.06-0.90vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.78-3.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.08Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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5.77Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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7.36Tufts University2.200.1%1st Place
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7.18University of Rhode Island2.280.1%1st Place
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6.67Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
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5.46Yale University2.820.1%1st Place
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5.17Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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8.27University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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8.82University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
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6.25Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
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8.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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13.01Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
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6.38Dartmouth College2.620.1%1st Place
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13.1Maine Maritime Academy0.060.0%1st Place
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11.57Northeastern University0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Hibben | 10.1% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Preston Duclos | 9.9% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Keller | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 11.4% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 13.4% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schryver | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 1.0% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 5.3% | 1.4% |
| Kyle Dochoda | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Caelan Juckniess | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 6.2% | 3.2% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 14.3% | 26.1% | 35.7% |
| Noah Simmons | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Dugan | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 23.4% | 41.0% |
| William Crane | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 17.8% | 24.0% | 15.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.