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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.47+4.89vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.60+3.42vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.20+3.79vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.94+3.62vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.68+0.55vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.28+0.74vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.61-1.63vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.78+2.63vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.82-3.95vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.62-4.36vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-2.79vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy0.25-0.11vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.77-4.96vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.06-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.89Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
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5.42Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
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6.79Tufts University2.200.1%1st Place
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7.62University of Rhode Island1.940.0%1st Place
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5.55Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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6.74University of Rhode Island2.280.1%1st Place
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5.37Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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10.63Northeastern University0.780.0%1st Place
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5.05Yale University2.820.1%1st Place
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5.64Dartmouth College2.620.1%1st Place
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8.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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11.89Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
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8.04University of Vermont1.770.1%1st Place
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12.14Maine Maritime Academy0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Rasmussen | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Kyle Dochoda | 12.6% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Keller | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Matthew Schryver | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
| Preston Duclos | 9.2% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Charlie Hibben | 12.0% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| William Crane | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 11.0% | 16.9% | 21.1% | 17.6% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 12.3% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Noah Simmons | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Caelan Juckniess | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 13.9% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 3.2% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 7.2% | 16.4% | 25.4% | 33.0% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 5.9% | 2.5% |
| Thomas Dugan | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 11.4% | 25.0% | 40.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.