Race 15A

hewitt-division

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Noah Simmons 9.9% 8.7% 11.0% 9.2% 7.4% 10.2% 7.9% 7.9% 8.3% 6.9% 4.4% 4.4% 2.1% 1.0% 0.7%
Nicholas Marwell 12.4% 14.1% 11.5% 10.3% 10.9% 8.2% 8.8% 6.5% 5.4% 5.4% 3.1% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Preston Duclos 10.7% 11.0% 8.2% 10.7% 8.6% 9.9% 8.0% 9.7% 7.3% 5.0% 4.2% 3.6% 2.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Scott Rasmussen 9.1% 7.7% 8.6% 8.8% 9.4% 7.0% 9.2% 6.9% 8.2% 8.0% 7.3% 4.9% 3.1% 1.7% 0.1%
Christopher Keller 6.9% 6.1% 6.4% 6.1% 6.9% 7.3% 8.0% 7.3% 8.5% 10.8% 9.0% 7.2% 5.9% 2.8% 0.8%
Dylan DiMarchi 10.9% 11.8% 9.3% 10.0% 11.7% 9.8% 9.0% 9.0% 5.4% 4.2% 5.1% 2.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Caelan Juckniess 5.1% 3.9% 4.4% 4.6% 4.1% 5.4% 6.4% 6.1% 8.5% 10.2% 11.0% 12.1% 9.4% 6.5% 2.3%
Charlie Hibben 9.4% 9.8% 9.9% 8.9% 8.6% 7.8% 9.1% 8.4% 7.7% 7.3% 5.8% 3.9% 2.3% 1.0% 0.1%
Kyle Dochoda 8.5% 8.9% 10.7% 9.9% 9.1% 9.2% 8.6% 8.7% 8.0% 4.9% 6.5% 4.5% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
Michael O'Flaherty 6.2% 5.5% 8.1% 7.0% 7.7% 8.1% 8.1% 8.1% 9.6% 8.0% 8.6% 7.0% 5.1% 2.4% 0.5%
Matthew Schryver 4.3% 5.3% 5.3% 6.1% 6.0% 6.9% 6.4% 6.8% 8.5% 9.1% 8.3% 9.9% 9.3% 5.9% 1.9%
William Crane 1.3% 1.2% 1.4% 1.3% 1.7% 2.3% 2.1% 3.7% 4.3% 4.5% 7.1% 10.6% 17.5% 24.6% 16.4%
Vincent Yannelli 3.7% 4.6% 3.2% 5.2% 5.0% 5.4% 5.6% 6.2% 6.4% 10.2% 11.2% 13.2% 11.0% 6.5% 2.6%
Thomas Dugan 0.8% 0.6% 0.6% 0.7% 1.0% 0.8% 1.6% 2.5% 1.6% 2.6% 4.2% 7.0% 12.0% 23.3% 40.7%
Olivia Mitchell 0.8% 0.8% 1.4% 1.2% 1.9% 1.7% 1.2% 2.2% 2.3% 2.9% 4.2% 7.5% 15.5% 22.6% 33.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.