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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.90+4.19vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.62+3.98vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.61+3.08vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.20+3.44vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.60+1.25vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.47+0.60vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.82-1.52vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.68-2.04vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.77-0.21vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.94-1.61vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.28-3.79vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.78-0.15vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy0.25-0.14vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-5.17vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.06-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.19Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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5.98Dartmouth College2.620.1%1st Place
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6.08Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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7.44Tufts University2.200.1%1st Place
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6.25Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
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6.6Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
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5.48Yale University2.820.1%1st Place
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5.96Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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8.79University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
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8.39University of Rhode Island1.940.0%1st Place
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7.21University of Rhode Island2.280.1%1st Place
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11.85Northeastern University0.780.0%1st Place
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12.86Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
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8.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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13.08Maine Maritime Academy0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Marwell | 13.5% | 14.1% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Noah Simmons | 9.0% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Hibben | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Keller | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Kyle Dochoda | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 11.8% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Preston Duclos | 10.4% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 5.5% | 1.6% |
| Matthew Schryver | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| William Crane | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 19.3% | 23.3% | 16.2% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 12.8% | 25.5% | 35.5% |
| Caelan Juckniess | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 6.1% | 1.9% |
| Thomas Dugan | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 11.9% | 25.0% | 40.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.