Race 11A

veitor

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Samuel Ingham 26.1% 22.5% 15.0% 10.2% 9.4% 7.1% 4.3% 2.0% 1.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Elizabeth Barry 11.8% 12.4% 11.5% 12.2% 8.7% 11.0% 9.9% 8.4% 5.0% 3.8% 2.0% 1.8% 1.3% 0.2%
Reeve Dunne 3.6% 3.0% 4.0% 4.2% 5.2% 5.0% 5.3% 5.7% 7.8% 7.8% 11.1% 11.7% 13.7% 11.9%
Christian Manchester 8.8% 12.7% 10.7% 12.4% 11.9% 9.8% 8.5% 7.2% 6.5% 5.1% 3.3% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
Andrew Kurzrok 3.0% 3.3% 5.3% 6.7% 6.1% 6.9% 6.7% 9.0% 8.1% 10.0% 8.7% 10.2% 8.8% 7.2%
Conor Lodge 4.8% 3.7% 4.4% 4.6% 7.2% 6.6% 9.2% 8.1% 8.5% 10.5% 9.5% 8.4% 7.0% 7.5%
Peter Giuliano 4.0% 3.5% 5.0% 5.8% 5.8% 5.9% 7.2% 8.3% 7.9% 9.3% 9.6% 10.5% 9.0% 8.2%
Matthew Schon 7.2% 8.3% 8.3% 7.2% 8.9% 9.5% 9.0% 8.5% 7.1% 8.4% 6.7% 5.0% 3.6% 2.3%
Christopher Poole 4.0% 4.4% 4.1% 5.9% 5.4% 6.7% 6.1% 10.3% 10.1% 8.7% 10.2% 10.8% 7.7% 5.6%
Will Pelleteri 3.2% 3.0% 3.7% 4.1% 4.9% 6.1% 8.5% 7.2% 9.3% 9.0% 9.8% 10.0% 11.3% 9.9%
Quentin Chafee 5.1% 5.0% 7.1% 7.4% 8.9% 7.5% 9.7% 8.2% 8.8% 9.5% 6.9% 7.8% 5.2% 2.9%
Ben Greenfield 14.3% 12.9% 15.2% 14.2% 10.9% 9.0% 7.1% 6.5% 3.3% 2.5% 2.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.0%
Billy Hines 2.6% 3.4% 3.4% 3.4% 3.8% 5.4% 4.6% 4.6% 9.6% 9.2% 10.2% 11.8% 13.0% 15.0%
Graham Philpot 1.5% 1.9% 2.3% 1.7% 2.9% 3.5% 3.9% 6.0% 6.1% 5.5% 8.8% 9.0% 17.9% 29.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.