Race 2A

penobscot-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Curtis Mallory 6.1% 6.6% 8.6% 8.6% 11.3% 12.3% 13.8% 16.4% 13.4% 2.9%
Buck Rathbun 28.9% 21.6% 17.0% 13.9% 9.3% 5.8% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Robert Heath 13.1% 13.2% 13.8% 14.1% 14.1% 12.0% 10.5% 5.8% 2.8% 0.7%
Jordynn Johnson 7.0% 6.0% 8.5% 9.3% 9.4% 11.6% 14.2% 17.8% 13.7% 2.5%
Toby Clarkson 10.0% 10.8% 11.8% 12.2% 13.2% 13.7% 12.3% 9.3% 5.6% 1.1%
Isabella Cho 10.9% 14.1% 14.0% 13.6% 13.0% 13.5% 10.2% 7.1% 3.1% 0.5%
Sam Harris 15.2% 16.7% 15.5% 14.8% 13.7% 10.9% 7.9% 3.9% 1.4% 0.1%
Kevin McNeill 5.4% 6.4% 6.7% 8.2% 8.1% 10.8% 14.9% 17.2% 17.4% 5.0%
Marshall Rodes 2.7% 3.9% 3.2% 4.2% 6.6% 7.8% 10.7% 16.9% 32.7% 11.4%
Colin Kenny 0.8% 0.7% 1.1% 1.1% 1.4% 1.7% 2.9% 4.9% 9.8% 75.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.