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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.18+6.02vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.42+0.57vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.19+0.47vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.49+4.69vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College-0.13+6.01vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75+2.72vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida0.99+0.55vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.85-2.26vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy0.20+0.87vs Predicted
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10Tulane University0.51-1.17vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.31-4.50vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii0.51-2.87vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island-0.20-2.04vs Predicted
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14Princeton University-0.79-1.26vs Predicted
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15George Washington University1.07-7.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.02Northeastern University1.185.1%1st Place
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2.57Yale University2.4234.5%1st Place
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3.47Stanford University2.1920.1%1st Place
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8.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.492.8%1st Place
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11.01Connecticut College-0.131.5%1st Place
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8.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.752.5%1st Place
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7.55University of South Florida0.994.5%1st Place
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5.74Brown University1.858.6%1st Place
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9.87Maine Maritime Academy0.201.5%1st Place
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8.83Tulane University0.512.4%1st Place
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6.5Roger Williams University1.316.9%1st Place
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9.13University of Hawaii0.513.0%1st Place
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10.96University of Rhode Island-0.200.9%1st Place
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12.74Princeton University-0.790.7%1st Place
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7.19George Washington University1.075.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Carmen Cowles | 34.5% | 24.1% | 17.2% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Fisher | 20.1% | 20.8% | 17.7% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ella Demand | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 3.0% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 17.1% | 16.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 3.5% |
| Kalea Woodard | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Laura Hamilton | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Ella Beauregard | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 7.0% |
| Mira Herlihy | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 3.8% |
| Tavia Smith | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Martha Schuessler | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 4.5% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 17.2% | 14.9% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 16.4% | 43.7% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.