Race 3B

atlantic-coast-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Phoebe Sprague 7.2% 7.8% 10.0% 8.5% 11.3% 14.7% 14.9% 14.3% 11.3%
Robert Lippincott 4.9% 5.9% 7.7% 9.1% 11.1% 13.8% 15.1% 16.3% 16.1%
Ben Greenfield 31.0% 21.6% 16.3% 13.4% 9.7% 4.4% 2.7% 0.6% 0.3%
Philip Alley 12.5% 15.2% 16.7% 13.7% 12.9% 11.4% 8.2% 6.6% 2.8%
D.J. Hatch 13.1% 17.1% 14.9% 12.9% 10.1% 11.9% 8.7% 7.9% 3.4%
John Renehan 12.3% 13.0% 14.5% 14.5% 11.7% 13.1% 10.1% 7.0% 3.8%
Rian Bareuther 8.8% 9.7% 10.9% 13.5% 14.9% 11.8% 13.0% 11.4% 6.0%
Mildred Conroy 5.8% 6.1% 4.0% 8.5% 10.4% 10.1% 15.8% 16.3% 23.0%
John Croll 4.4% 3.6% 5.0% 5.9% 7.9% 8.8% 11.5% 19.6% 33.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.