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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-1.26+2.47vs Predicted
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2American University-1.27+1.43vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-1.26+0.47vs Predicted
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4Catholic University of America-0.35-1.54vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.78-3.48vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-2.18-1.55vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland/Baltimore County-3.80-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.47Virginia Tech-1.260.1%1st Place
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3.43American University-1.270.1%1st Place
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3.47Virginia Tech-1.260.1%1st Place
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2.46Catholic University of America-0.350.2%1st Place
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1.52Christopher Newport University0.780.6%1st Place
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4.45University of Maryland-2.180.0%1st Place
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5.67University of Maryland/Baltimore County-3.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Fehrle | 7.0% | 15.0% | 25.7% | 31.9% | 17.5% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Cala Coffman | 7.3% | 16.8% | 26.2% | 27.1% | 20.3% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| David Fehrle | 7.0% | 15.0% | 25.7% | 31.9% | 17.5% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Clare Wagner | 21.0% | 35.0% | 25.6% | 14.4% | 3.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Luke Hayes | 61.3% | 27.6% | 9.0% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna O'Connell | 3.0% | 4.6% | 11.6% | 20.0% | 46.9% | 13.9% | 0.0% |
| Aren Warner | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 4.6% | 11.6% | 80.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.