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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.78+0.36vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-1.26+1.07vs Predicted
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3American University-1.27+0.06vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-2.18+0.14vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-1.26-1.93vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-1.77-2.23vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland/Baltimore County-3.80-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.36Christopher Newport University0.780.7%1st Place
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3.07Virginia Tech-1.260.1%1st Place
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3.06American University-1.270.1%1st Place
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4.14University of Maryland-2.180.0%1st Place
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3.07Virginia Tech-1.260.1%1st Place
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3.77Catholic University of America-1.770.0%1st Place
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5.61University of Maryland/Baltimore County-3.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Hayes | 72.7% | 20.1% | 5.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Fehrle | 8.9% | 27.8% | 27.5% | 20.9% | 13.0% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Cala Coffman | 10.5% | 25.4% | 26.6% | 24.4% | 11.6% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Anna O'Connell | 3.4% | 9.6% | 16.4% | 21.5% | 38.6% | 10.5% | 0.0% |
| David Fehrle | 8.9% | 27.8% | 27.5% | 20.9% | 13.0% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Chris Lukas | 4.0% | 15.2% | 21.3% | 26.7% | 25.2% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| Aren Warner | 0.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 11.5% | 78.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.