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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.78+0.28vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-1.26+0.74vs Predicted
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3American University-1.27-0.26vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-1.26-1.26vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-2.18-1.45vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland/Baltimore County-3.80-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.28Christopher Newport University0.780.8%1st Place
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2.74Virginia Tech-1.260.1%1st Place
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2.74American University-1.270.1%1st Place
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2.74Virginia Tech-1.260.1%1st Place
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3.55University of Maryland-2.180.0%1st Place
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4.7University of Maryland/Baltimore County-3.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Hayes | 77.0% | 19.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Fehrle | 9.5% | 32.6% | 35.1% | 20.0% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Cala Coffman | 9.8% | 33.1% | 33.5% | 20.8% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| David Fehrle | 9.5% | 32.6% | 35.1% | 20.0% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Anna O'Connell | 3.1% | 13.4% | 23.2% | 45.9% | 14.4% | 0.0% |
| Aren Warner | 0.6% | 1.7% | 5.3% | 12.4% | 80.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.