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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-1.26+1.75vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.78-0.71vs Predicted
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3American University-1.27-0.28vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-1.26-1.25vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland/Baltimore County-3.80-0.31vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-2.18-2.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.75Virginia Tech-1.260.1%1st Place
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1.29Christopher Newport University0.780.8%1st Place
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2.72American University-1.270.1%1st Place
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2.75Virginia Tech-1.260.1%1st Place
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4.69University of Maryland/Baltimore County-3.800.0%1st Place
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3.56University of Maryland-2.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Fehrle | 10.2% | 32.4% | 32.6% | 22.0% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Luke Hayes | 75.8% | 20.0% | 3.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cala Coffman | 10.5% | 31.6% | 36.1% | 18.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| David Fehrle | 10.2% | 32.4% | 32.6% | 22.0% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Aren Warner | 0.4% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 11.7% | 80.2% | 0.0% |
| Anna O'Connell | 3.1% | 13.5% | 22.3% | 47.0% | 14.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.