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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-1.26+1.78vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.78-0.73vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-1.26-0.22vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-2.18-0.47vs Predicted
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5American University-1.27-2.26vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland/Baltimore County-3.80-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.78Virginia Tech-1.260.1%1st Place
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1.27Christopher Newport University0.780.8%1st Place
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2.78Virginia Tech-1.260.1%1st Place
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3.53University of Maryland-2.180.0%1st Place
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2.74American University-1.270.1%1st Place
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4.67University of Maryland/Baltimore County-3.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Fehrle | 10.1% | 30.9% | 35.0% | 19.0% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Hayes | 77.0% | 19.3% | 3.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Fehrle | 10.1% | 30.9% | 35.0% | 19.0% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna O'Connell | 3.6% | 13.0% | 22.6% | 48.1% | 12.7% | 0.0% |
| Cala Coffman | 8.8% | 34.0% | 34.2% | 20.3% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Aren Warner | 0.5% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 12.3% | 79.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.