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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.18+3.42vs Predicted
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2Boston University4.07+0.90vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.25+1.30vs Predicted
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4Columbia University1.99+2.67vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.65+0.37vs Predicted
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6Washington College2.29+0.28vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.54-1.19vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.92-3.00vs Predicted
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9Cornell University3.27-4.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.42Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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2.9Boston University4.070.3%1st Place
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4.3Bowdoin College3.250.1%1st Place
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6.67Columbia University1.990.0%1st Place
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5.37Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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6.28Washington College2.290.1%1st Place
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5.81Salve Regina University2.540.1%1st Place
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5.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.920.1%1st Place
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4.24Cornell University3.270.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Renehan | 12.2% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 6.8% | 3.9% |
| Ben Greenfield | 26.7% | 24.5% | 16.8% | 13.6% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| D.J. Hatch | 13.8% | 12.3% | 14.3% | 15.0% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 3.6% |
| John Croll | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 16.3% | 31.9% |
| Phoebe Sprague | 7.7% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 12.5% |
| Mildred Conroy | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 18.3% | 22.5% |
| Robert Lippincott | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 16.2% | 17.0% | 14.5% |
| Rian Bareuther | 10.1% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 7.2% |
| Philip Alley | 14.0% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 12.9% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.