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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
John Renehan 12.2% 13.8% 13.3% 13.1% 12.6% 12.6% 11.7% 6.8% 3.9%
Ben Greenfield 26.7% 24.5% 16.8% 13.6% 8.0% 5.4% 3.2% 1.1% 0.7%
D.J. Hatch 13.8% 12.3% 14.3% 15.0% 13.1% 11.2% 9.6% 7.1% 3.6%
John Croll 3.7% 4.2% 5.6% 7.1% 7.9% 10.5% 12.8% 16.3% 31.9%
Phoebe Sprague 7.7% 10.2% 10.8% 7.9% 12.9% 12.0% 11.8% 14.2% 12.5%
Mildred Conroy 5.0% 5.3% 6.7% 7.7% 8.8% 11.8% 13.9% 18.3% 22.5%
Robert Lippincott 6.8% 6.3% 7.6% 10.4% 9.5% 11.7% 16.2% 17.0% 14.5%
Rian Bareuther 10.1% 9.7% 11.6% 11.4% 13.0% 11.9% 11.9% 13.2% 7.2%
Philip Alley 14.0% 13.7% 13.3% 13.8% 14.2% 12.9% 8.9% 6.0% 3.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.