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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.42+1.66vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.51+7.28vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.07+4.14vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.18+3.01vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.85+0.75vs Predicted
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6Tulane University0.51+2.88vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy0.20+2.66vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida0.99-0.54vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.31-2.42vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.19-6.54vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College-0.13-0.05vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island-0.20-0.81vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75-4.21vs Predicted
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14Princeton University-0.79-1.29vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.49-6.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.66Yale University2.4231.6%1st Place
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9.28University of Hawaii0.513.4%1st Place
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7.14George Washington University1.075.2%1st Place
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7.01Northeastern University1.185.4%1st Place
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5.75Brown University1.858.0%1st Place
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8.88Tulane University0.512.6%1st Place
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9.66Maine Maritime Academy0.202.4%1st Place
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7.46University of South Florida0.996.2%1st Place
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6.58Roger Williams University1.315.2%1st Place
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3.46Stanford University2.1920.7%1st Place
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10.95Connecticut College-0.131.2%1st Place
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11.19University of Rhode Island-0.201.2%1st Place
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8.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.753.0%1st Place
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12.71Princeton University-0.790.5%1st Place
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8.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.493.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 31.6% | 25.1% | 17.1% | 11.8% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Martha Schuessler | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 4.8% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Laura Hamilton | 8.0% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Mira Herlihy | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 3.4% |
| Ella Beauregard | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 7.5% |
| Kalea Woodard | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Tavia Smith | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Sophie Fisher | 20.7% | 19.9% | 18.8% | 13.6% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 16.4% | 14.3% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 20.0% | 15.3% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 3.7% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 14.4% | 45.8% |
| Ella Demand | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.