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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-1.26+1.75vs Predicted
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2American University-1.27+0.76vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.78-1.74vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-1.26-1.25vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-2.18-1.45vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland/Baltimore County-3.80-1.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.75Virginia Tech-1.260.1%1st Place
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2.76American University-1.270.1%1st Place
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1.26Christopher Newport University0.780.8%1st Place
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2.75Virginia Tech-1.260.1%1st Place
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3.55University of Maryland-2.180.0%1st Place
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4.68University of Maryland/Baltimore County-3.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Fehrle | 9.2% | 33.4% | 33.5% | 20.6% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Cala Coffman | 8.2% | 33.7% | 34.5% | 20.9% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Luke Hayes | 78.5% | 17.7% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Fehrle | 9.2% | 33.4% | 33.5% | 20.6% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Anna O'Connell | 3.8% | 12.5% | 22.8% | 47.1% | 13.8% | 0.0% |
| Aren Warner | 0.3% | 2.7% | 5.9% | 10.9% | 80.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.