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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pittsburgh-0.62+1.11vs Predicted
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2Drexel University-1.10+0.58vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-1.08-1.45vs Predicted
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5Ocean County College-1.68-1.81vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-3.27-1.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.11University of Pittsburgh-0.620.4%1st Place
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2.58Drexel University-1.100.2%1st Place
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2.55Princeton University-1.080.2%1st Place
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3.19Ocean County College-1.680.1%1st Place
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4.57Rutgers University-3.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Merrill | 37.7% | 28.9% | 19.9% | 11.5% | 2.0% |
| Lindsey Winter | 23.9% | 24.5% | 25.8% | 21.4% | 4.4% |
| Elizabeth Bailey | 24.1% | 25.5% | 25.5% | 21.0% | 3.9% |
| River Dixon | 12.5% | 17.2% | 21.9% | 35.6% | 12.8% |
| Emma Rigassio | 1.8% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 76.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.