← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
2Ocean County College-1.68+1.21vs Predicted
-
3Drexel University-1.10-0.41vs Predicted
-
4University of Pittsburgh-0.62-1.93vs Predicted
-
5Princeton University-1.08-2.46vs Predicted
-
6Rutgers University-3.27-1.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.21Ocean County College-1.680.1%1st Place
-
2.59Drexel University-1.100.2%1st Place
-
2.07University of Pittsburgh-0.620.4%1st Place
-
2.54Princeton University-1.080.2%1st Place
-
4.58Rutgers University-3.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| River Dixon | 12.9% | 16.3% | 21.9% | 34.7% | 14.2% |
| Lindsey Winter | 22.2% | 25.8% | 26.7% | 20.9% | 4.4% |
| Bryce Merrill | 38.9% | 28.6% | 20.4% | 10.4% | 1.7% |
| Elizabeth Bailey | 24.4% | 25.7% | 25.0% | 21.0% | 3.9% |
| Emma Rigassio | 1.6% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 13.0% | 75.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.