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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Delaware-1.11+2.36vs Predicted
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3Ocean County College-1.68+1.00vs Predicted
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4University of Pittsburgh-0.62-1.30vs Predicted
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5Princeton University0.05-3.05vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-1.10-2.58vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-3.27-1.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.36University of Delaware-1.110.1%1st Place
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4.0Ocean County College-1.680.1%1st Place
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2.7University of Pittsburgh-0.620.2%1st Place
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1.95Princeton University0.050.4%1st Place
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3.42Drexel University-1.100.1%1st Place
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5.56Rutgers University-3.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Mathias | 12.1% | 17.6% | 20.7% | 25.5% | 19.8% | 4.3% |
| River Dixon | 7.0% | 11.0% | 15.5% | 19.4% | 35.6% | 11.5% |
| Bryce Merrill | 22.9% | 25.8% | 22.1% | 18.2% | 10.0% | 1.0% |
| Zak Dasaro | 44.4% | 28.4% | 16.9% | 8.1% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Lindsey Winter | 12.4% | 15.8% | 22.1% | 23.3% | 19.7% | 6.7% |
| Emma Rigassio | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 12.8% | 76.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.