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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pittsburgh-0.62+1.38vs Predicted
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2Ocean County College-1.68+1.44vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-1.10-1.19vs Predicted
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5Princeton University0.05-3.27vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-3.27-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38University of Pittsburgh-0.620.2%1st Place
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3.44Ocean County College-1.680.1%1st Place
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2.81Drexel University-1.100.2%1st Place
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1.73Princeton University0.050.5%1st Place
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4.64Rutgers University-3.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Merrill | 24.9% | 32.4% | 25.8% | 13.9% | 3.0% |
| River Dixon | 7.1% | 12.3% | 22.5% | 45.2% | 12.9% |
| Lindsey Winter | 15.6% | 23.0% | 31.4% | 25.2% | 4.8% |
| Zak Dasaro | 51.0% | 30.1% | 14.3% | 4.1% | 0.5% |
| Emma Rigassio | 1.4% | 2.2% | 6.0% | 11.6% | 78.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.