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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pittsburgh0.43+0.49vs Predicted
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2Drexel University-1.42+1.15vs Predicted
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3University of Delaware-2.17+1.07vs Predicted
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4Ocean County College-2.14+0.04vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-1.12-3.02vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-3.24-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.49University of Pittsburgh0.430.7%1st Place
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3.15Drexel University-1.420.1%1st Place
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4.07University of Delaware-2.170.1%1st Place
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4.04Ocean County College-2.140.0%1st Place
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2.98Princeton University-1.120.1%1st Place
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5.27Rutgers University-3.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Fairchild | 65.1% | 24.4% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Tobias Green | 10.5% | 24.5% | 25.6% | 22.1% | 13.0% | 4.3% |
| Patrick Rigor | 5.6% | 10.1% | 16.3% | 23.3% | 29.1% | 15.6% |
| Bianca Robertson | 4.8% | 10.8% | 18.1% | 22.3% | 30.0% | 14.0% |
| William Cowen-Breen | 12.7% | 26.9% | 27.2% | 19.7% | 10.0% | 3.5% |
| Adam Warner | 1.3% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 9.9% | 17.4% | 62.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.