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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.42+1.59vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.19+1.51vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.31+3.52vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.49+4.73vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.07+2.11vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College-0.13+5.07vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75+1.73vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.18-1.00vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.85-3.13vs Predicted
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10Tulane University0.51-1.18vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida0.99-3.62vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii0.51-2.89vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy0.20-3.20vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island-0.20-3.00vs Predicted
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15Princeton University-0.79-2.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.59Yale University2.4232.9%1st Place
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3.51Stanford University2.1919.4%1st Place
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6.52Roger Williams University1.315.8%1st Place
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8.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.493.6%1st Place
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7.11George Washington University1.074.8%1st Place
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11.07Connecticut College-0.131.6%1st Place
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8.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.752.8%1st Place
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7.0Northeastern University1.185.5%1st Place
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5.87Brown University1.857.9%1st Place
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8.82Tulane University0.512.7%1st Place
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7.38University of South Florida0.995.1%1st Place
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9.11University of Hawaii0.513.0%1st Place
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9.8Maine Maritime Academy0.202.6%1st Place
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11.0University of Rhode Island-0.201.5%1st Place
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12.76Princeton University-0.790.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 32.9% | 25.5% | 17.2% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Fisher | 19.4% | 20.6% | 17.0% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 5.8% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Ella Demand | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 2.6% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 17.4% | 16.4% |
| Brooke Barry | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 2.5% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Laura Hamilton | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Mira Herlihy | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 2.9% |
| Kalea Woodard | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Martha Schuessler | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 4.2% |
| Ella Beauregard | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 7.8% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 16.6% | 16.4% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 10.7% | 15.9% | 44.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.