Race 5B

atlantic-coast-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Philip Alley 13.0% 13.4% 12.3% 12.9% 14.1% 12.9% 10.2% 6.7% 4.5%
Sam Fitzgerald 9.1% 9.7% 11.1% 13.3% 13.6% 13.5% 10.6% 11.5% 7.6%
Phoebe Sprague 6.5% 7.6% 8.8% 9.5% 10.4% 11.7% 15.7% 16.2% 13.6%
Ben Greenfield 28.8% 25.0% 16.8% 11.0% 8.7% 4.5% 3.6% 1.2% 0.4%
Robert Lippincott 6.2% 8.3% 9.5% 10.5% 8.2% 10.4% 13.3% 16.5% 17.1%
John Croll 3.6% 3.3% 4.9% 5.7% 7.1% 7.8% 12.3% 17.4% 37.9%
D.J. Hatch 11.9% 12.6% 14.3% 12.4% 15.3% 12.8% 9.8% 7.9% 3.0%
Bradley Milliken 9.2% 7.5% 9.9% 11.5% 11.1% 12.1% 13.3% 14.1% 11.3%
John Renehan 11.7% 12.6% 12.4% 13.2% 11.5% 14.3% 11.2% 8.5% 4.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.