← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Princeton University-0.18+1.08vs Predicted
-
2Ocean County College-2.14+1.80vs Predicted
-
3University of Pittsburgh0.43-1.42vs Predicted
-
4Drexel University-1.42-0.90vs Predicted
-
6Rutgers University-3.24-1.17vs Predicted
-
7University of Delaware-4.32-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.08Princeton University-0.180.3%1st Place
-
3.8Ocean County College-2.140.0%1st Place
-
1.58University of Pittsburgh0.430.6%1st Place
-
3.1Drexel University-1.420.1%1st Place
-
4.83Rutgers University-3.240.0%1st Place
-
5.61University of Delaware-4.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Larson | 29.1% | 41.9% | 22.1% | 6.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Bianca Robertson | 3.6% | 8.8% | 20.1% | 42.3% | 21.5% | 3.7% |
| Aaron Fairchild | 56.7% | 31.5% | 9.4% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tobias Green | 9.0% | 15.1% | 40.3% | 28.2% | 6.8% | 0.6% |
| Adam Warner | 1.2% | 2.4% | 6.5% | 15.7% | 50.2% | 24.0% |
| Brady Price | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.6% | 5.4% | 20.6% | 71.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.