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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University-0.18+1.11vs Predicted
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3Drexel University-1.42+0.32vs Predicted
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4University of Pittsburgh0.43-2.39vs Predicted
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5Ocean County College-2.14-1.03vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-2.17-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.11Princeton University-0.180.3%1st Place
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3.32Drexel University-1.420.1%1st Place
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1.61University of Pittsburgh0.430.6%1st Place
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3.97Ocean County College-2.140.0%1st Place
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4.0University of Delaware-2.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Larson | 30.8% | 39.5% | 19.1% | 8.8% | 1.8% |
| Tobias Green | 7.1% | 14.0% | 33.9% | 30.1% | 14.9% |
| Aaron Fairchild | 55.0% | 32.6% | 9.3% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Bianca Robertson | 3.6% | 6.2% | 19.8% | 30.9% | 39.5% |
| Patrick Rigor | 3.5% | 7.7% | 17.9% | 27.3% | 43.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.