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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
John Renehan 12.0% 12.4% 13.3% 12.1% 13.1% 12.8% 10.6% 9.2% 4.5%
D.J. Hatch 9.3% 13.0% 13.1% 13.8% 14.1% 11.4% 12.0% 9.3% 4.0%
Philip Alley 12.2% 13.1% 13.8% 12.8% 12.7% 12.1% 11.6% 8.2% 3.5%
Sam Fitzgerald 11.1% 11.1% 13.1% 12.4% 12.0% 13.5% 11.3% 9.7% 5.8%
Robert Lippincott 6.1% 7.9% 9.6% 8.9% 10.8% 11.8% 12.5% 15.1% 17.3%
Ben Greenfield 29.8% 24.2% 15.8% 12.2% 9.3% 5.1% 2.5% 0.6% 0.5%
Phoebe Sprague 7.3% 5.4% 8.3% 10.8% 10.4% 12.1% 15.2% 17.0% 13.5%
Bradley Milliken 8.1% 9.4% 8.7% 11.5% 11.2% 12.2% 13.8% 13.7% 11.4%
John Croll 4.1% 3.5% 4.3% 5.5% 6.4% 9.0% 10.5% 17.2% 39.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.