← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Notre Dame1.92+2.12vs Predicted
-
2University of Wisconsin2.09+0.85vs Predicted
-
3University of Wisconsin1.41+1.06vs Predicted
-
4Marquette University-0.29+3.95vs Predicted
-
5University of Wisconsin1.58-1.31vs Predicted
-
6Marquette University0.49-0.04vs Predicted
-
7University of Minnesota-0.34+0.95vs Predicted
-
8University of Notre Dame-0.64+0.72vs Predicted
-
9Hillsdale College-0.79+0.21vs Predicted
-
10University of Michigan0.00-2.76vs Predicted
-
11University of Chicago-1.02-1.46vs Predicted
-
12University of Michigan-1.60-1.02vs Predicted
-
13Ohio State University-0.97-3.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.12University of Notre Dame1.920.2%1st Place
-
2.85University of Wisconsin2.090.3%1st Place
-
4.06University of Wisconsin1.410.1%1st Place
-
7.95Marquette University-0.290.0%1st Place
-
3.69University of Wisconsin1.580.2%1st Place
-
5.96Marquette University0.490.1%1st Place
-
7.95University of Minnesota-0.340.0%1st Place
-
8.72University of Notre Dame-0.640.0%1st Place
-
9.21Hillsdale College-0.790.0%1st Place
-
7.24University of Michigan0.000.0%1st Place
-
9.54University of Chicago-1.020.0%1st Place
-
10.98University of Michigan-1.600.0%1st Place
-
9.71Ohio State University-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Cyrul | 22.9% | 21.5% | 17.6% | 16.0% | 10.7% | 6.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 27.5% | 22.8% | 18.7% | 13.6% | 9.1% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Schmidt | 12.3% | 15.3% | 16.5% | 15.6% | 15.1% | 11.4% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Karl Wagerson | 2.5% | 1.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 3.7% |
| Noah Janssen | 16.9% | 17.2% | 16.4% | 16.0% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Solomon Dworsky | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 13.9% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Morris | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 7.6% | 3.5% |
| Christian Green | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 7.3% |
| Francis Lucchetti | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 11.8% |
| Samuel Ephraim | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Juni Terry | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 15.1% | 14.8% | 14.4% |
| Raymond Cracchiolo | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 17.6% | 41.3% |
| Martin Moore | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 15.7% | 18.5% | 15.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.