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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame1.92+2.13vs Predicted
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2Marquette University-0.29+6.20vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.58+0.78vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin2.09-1.07vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.41-0.77vs Predicted
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6University of Chicago-1.02+4.47vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-0.52+1.79vs Predicted
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8Marquette University0.49-1.73vs Predicted
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9University of Minnesota-0.34-0.38vs Predicted
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10Hillsdale College-0.79-0.16vs Predicted
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11University of Notre Dame-0.64-1.60vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan0.00-4.38vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan-1.60-1.42vs Predicted
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14Ohio State University-0.97-3.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.13University of Notre Dame1.920.2%1st Place
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8.2Marquette University-0.290.0%1st Place
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3.78University of Wisconsin1.580.2%1st Place
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2.93University of Wisconsin2.090.3%1st Place
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4.23University of Wisconsin1.410.1%1st Place
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10.47University of Chicago-1.020.0%1st Place
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8.79Northwestern University-0.520.0%1st Place
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6.27Marquette University0.490.1%1st Place
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8.62University of Minnesota-0.340.0%1st Place
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9.84Hillsdale College-0.790.0%1st Place
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9.4University of Notre Dame-0.640.0%1st Place
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7.62University of Michigan0.000.0%1st Place
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11.58University of Michigan-1.600.0%1st Place
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10.13Ohio State University-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Cyrul | 24.6% | 21.3% | 17.5% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Karl Wagerson | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.2% |
| Noah Janssen | 18.1% | 15.4% | 14.5% | 17.5% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 26.4% | 22.4% | 18.4% | 13.3% | 10.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Schmidt | 11.1% | 13.8% | 16.5% | 17.0% | 14.9% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Juni Terry | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 15.5% | 17.1% |
| Zachary Li | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 5.1% |
| Solomon Dworsky | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Morris | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 4.1% |
| Francis Lucchetti | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 9.9% |
| Christian Green | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 8.2% |
| Samuel Ephraim | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% |
| Raymond Cracchiolo | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 12.5% | 16.5% | 37.1% |
| Martin Moore | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 15.5% | 12.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.