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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame1.24+2.00vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin2.65-0.46vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin-0.11+2.07vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-1.21+3.07vs Predicted
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5Hillsdale College-2.00+3.41vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin0.84-2.51vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University-2.44+2.19vs Predicted
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8University of Chicago-0.85-1.70vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame0.23-4.49vs Predicted
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10University of Minnesota-2.00-1.53vs Predicted
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11Marquette University-3.66+0.16vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan-3.49-0.95vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan-4.00-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.0University of Notre Dame1.240.1%1st Place
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1.54University of Wisconsin2.650.6%1st Place
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5.07University of Wisconsin-0.110.0%1st Place
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7.07Marquette University-1.210.0%1st Place
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8.41Hillsdale College-2.000.0%1st Place
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3.49University of Wisconsin0.840.1%1st Place
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9.19Ohio State University-2.440.0%1st Place
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6.3University of Chicago-0.850.0%1st Place
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4.51University of Notre Dame0.230.0%1st Place
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8.47University of Minnesota-2.000.0%1st Place
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11.16Marquette University-3.660.0%1st Place
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11.05University of Michigan-3.490.0%1st Place
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11.75University of Michigan-4.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gallagher | 13.7% | 27.9% | 25.7% | 17.2% | 10.7% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Spencer | 62.8% | 24.7% | 9.0% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Barnes | 3.3% | 6.9% | 11.0% | 16.2% | 20.4% | 18.8% | 13.7% | 6.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Higgins | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 15.7% | 16.4% | 17.8% | 15.3% | 8.7% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Pearce Pomerleau | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 15.7% | 18.0% | 19.2% | 11.3% | 5.3% | 0.7% |
| Thomas Kelly | 10.2% | 20.3% | 23.7% | 19.8% | 14.5% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kati Cheung | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 16.1% | 20.1% | 21.0% | 9.4% | 2.3% |
| Justin Smith | 1.8% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 17.4% | 21.4% | 14.7% | 9.8% | 4.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Colleen Wiechart | 4.8% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 21.3% | 20.3% | 14.5% | 9.1% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Granstrom | 0.5% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 11.2% | 16.4% | 20.2% | 17.3% | 11.5% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Jonathan Watzka | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 11.5% | 18.7% | 27.1% | 26.6% |
| Jack Webb | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 11.5% | 19.3% | 29.1% | 22.9% |
| Nicholas Daniel | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 14.5% | 24.4% | 45.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.