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📊 Prediction Accuracy
92.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame1.24+1.83vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin2.65-0.51vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.84+0.38vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-1.21+2.78vs Predicted
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5University of Chicago-0.85+1.00vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin-0.11-1.27vs Predicted
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7Hillsdale College-2.00+1.20vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-1.04-1.62vs Predicted
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9University of Minnesota-2.00-0.72vs Predicted
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10Ohio State University-2.44-0.91vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan-3.49-0.16vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan-4.00-0.29vs Predicted
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13Marquette University-3.66-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.83University of Notre Dame1.240.1%1st Place
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1.49University of Wisconsin2.650.7%1st Place
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3.38University of Wisconsin0.840.1%1st Place
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6.78Marquette University-1.210.0%1st Place
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6.0University of Chicago-0.850.0%1st Place
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4.73University of Wisconsin-0.110.0%1st Place
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8.2Hillsdale College-2.000.0%1st Place
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6.38University of Notre Dame-1.040.0%1st Place
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8.28University of Minnesota-2.000.0%1st Place
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9.09Ohio State University-2.440.0%1st Place
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10.84University of Michigan-3.490.0%1st Place
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11.71University of Michigan-4.000.0%1st Place
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11.29Marquette University-3.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gallagher | 14.8% | 30.1% | 27.5% | 16.4% | 7.7% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Spencer | 65.9% | 24.0% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Kelly | 8.3% | 22.9% | 26.3% | 20.4% | 13.2% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Higgins | 1.3% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 18.2% | 15.2% | 15.7% | 12.2% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Justin Smith | 2.2% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 17.6% | 16.0% | 12.6% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Barnes | 3.7% | 9.1% | 15.0% | 18.6% | 21.2% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pearce Pomerleau | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 19.1% | 15.6% | 12.4% | 4.9% | 0.7% |
| James Kennedy | 1.5% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 14.1% | 16.4% | 18.0% | 15.7% | 9.8% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Granstrom | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 11.6% | 15.3% | 17.8% | 18.5% | 11.3% | 4.4% | 0.6% |
| Kati Cheung | 0.5% | 0.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 15.8% | 19.8% | 17.5% | 9.5% | 3.8% |
| Jack Webb | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 12.7% | 22.2% | 27.0% | 19.0% |
| Nicholas Daniel | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 6.9% | 12.4% | 25.4% | 45.0% |
| Jonathan Watzka | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 10.0% | 18.0% | 27.8% | 30.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.