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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.65+0.50vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame1.24+0.82vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.84+0.38vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-1.21+2.77vs Predicted
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5Hillsdale College-2.00+3.19vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin-0.11-1.27vs Predicted
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7University of Chicago-0.85-1.00vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-2.44+1.13vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-1.04-2.53vs Predicted
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10Marquette University-3.66+1.15vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota-2.00-2.82vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan-3.49-1.02vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan-4.00-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.5University of Wisconsin2.650.6%1st Place
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2.82University of Notre Dame1.240.2%1st Place
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3.38University of Wisconsin0.840.1%1st Place
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6.77Marquette University-1.210.0%1st Place
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8.19Hillsdale College-2.000.0%1st Place
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4.73University of Wisconsin-0.110.0%1st Place
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6.0University of Chicago-0.850.0%1st Place
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9.13Ohio State University-2.440.0%1st Place
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6.47University of Notre Dame-1.040.0%1st Place
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11.15Marquette University-3.660.0%1st Place
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8.18University of Minnesota-2.000.0%1st Place
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10.98University of Michigan-3.490.0%1st Place
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11.7University of Michigan-4.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Spencer | 63.8% | 25.9% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gallagher | 15.8% | 29.9% | 27.9% | 15.3% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Kelly | 8.8% | 21.5% | 26.8% | 22.1% | 11.4% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Higgins | 1.3% | 2.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 13.0% | 15.8% | 15.4% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Pearce Pomerleau | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 15.8% | 16.0% | 17.9% | 11.6% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Jack Barnes | 3.5% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 19.5% | 21.1% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Smith | 3.0% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 16.5% | 17.1% | 12.8% | 8.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kati Cheung | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 22.7% | 19.3% | 8.7% | 2.8% |
| James Kennedy | 1.5% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 18.8% | 16.5% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Watzka | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 18.5% | 28.1% | 27.8% |
| Matthew Granstrom | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 15.9% | 18.2% | 15.6% | 10.2% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Jack Webb | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 20.2% | 28.9% | 22.7% |
| Nicholas Daniel | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 7.0% | 13.6% | 24.7% | 44.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.