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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.65+0.48vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame1.24+0.80vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.84+0.36vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-1.21+2.81vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan-4.00+6.58vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin-0.11-1.29vs Predicted
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7Hillsdale College-2.00+1.21vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-1.04-1.66vs Predicted
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9University of Chicago-0.85-2.92vs Predicted
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10Marquette University-3.66+1.12vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota-2.00-2.77vs Predicted
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12Ohio State University-2.44-2.76vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan-3.49-1.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.48University of Wisconsin2.650.6%1st Place
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2.8University of Notre Dame1.240.2%1st Place
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3.36University of Wisconsin0.840.1%1st Place
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6.81Marquette University-1.210.0%1st Place
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11.58University of Michigan-4.000.0%1st Place
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4.71University of Wisconsin-0.110.0%1st Place
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8.21Hillsdale College-2.000.0%1st Place
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6.34University of Notre Dame-1.040.0%1st Place
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6.08University of Chicago-0.850.0%1st Place
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11.12Marquette University-3.660.0%1st Place
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8.23University of Minnesota-2.000.0%1st Place
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9.24Ohio State University-2.440.0%1st Place
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11.04University of Michigan-3.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Spencer | 64.9% | 24.5% | 8.2% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gallagher | 16.2% | 30.2% | 26.6% | 16.7% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Kelly | 8.8% | 22.0% | 27.2% | 21.5% | 10.9% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Higgins | 1.3% | 1.6% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 18.4% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Daniel | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 7.3% | 12.9% | 24.4% | 43.9% |
| Jack Barnes | 3.8% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 20.3% | 20.3% | 14.5% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pearce Pomerleau | 0.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 18.6% | 18.2% | 10.2% | 4.8% | 0.8% |
| James Kennedy | 1.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 15.6% | 19.0% | 15.1% | 10.0% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Justin Smith | 1.5% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 16.8% | 17.8% | 15.3% | 13.1% | 9.1% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Watzka | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 20.5% | 25.3% | 28.0% |
| Matthew Granstrom | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 12.5% | 16.2% | 18.6% | 16.1% | 9.3% | 5.0% | 1.1% |
| Kati Cheung | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 9.9% | 15.6% | 20.5% | 20.2% | 10.4% | 3.1% |
| Jack Webb | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 10.3% | 21.4% | 28.9% | 22.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.