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📊 Prediction Accuracy
84.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame1.24+1.96vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.84+1.48vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin2.65-1.44vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin-0.11+1.00vs Predicted
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5University of Chicago-1.31+1.98vs Predicted
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6Hillsdale College-2.00+2.36vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame0.23-2.65vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-1.21-1.12vs Predicted
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9University of Minnesota-2.00-0.61vs Predicted
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10Ohio State University-2.44-0.83vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan-3.49-0.13vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan-4.00-0.30vs Predicted
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13Marquette University-3.66-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.96University of Notre Dame1.240.1%1st Place
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3.48University of Wisconsin0.840.1%1st Place
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1.56University of Wisconsin2.650.6%1st Place
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5.0University of Wisconsin-0.110.0%1st Place
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6.98University of Chicago-1.310.0%1st Place
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8.36Hillsdale College-2.000.0%1st Place
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4.35University of Notre Dame0.230.1%1st Place
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6.88Marquette University-1.210.0%1st Place
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8.39University of Minnesota-2.000.0%1st Place
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9.17Ohio State University-2.440.0%1st Place
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10.87University of Michigan-3.490.0%1st Place
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11.7University of Michigan-4.000.0%1st Place
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11.3Marquette University-3.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gallagher | 14.8% | 26.9% | 26.3% | 17.3% | 10.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Kelly | 10.3% | 19.0% | 24.3% | 21.8% | 13.4% | 7.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Spencer | 60.8% | 27.0% | 8.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Barnes | 3.3% | 7.4% | 11.4% | 17.0% | 19.9% | 20.1% | 11.7% | 6.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nick Nowicki | 2.0% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 15.0% | 18.4% | 17.6% | 12.6% | 8.3% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Pearce Pomerleau | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 13.6% | 15.5% | 19.3% | 15.7% | 11.2% | 5.1% | 0.6% |
| Colleen Wiechart | 5.7% | 11.5% | 15.8% | 19.4% | 21.6% | 14.5% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Higgins | 1.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 10.1% | 16.2% | 19.5% | 16.4% | 14.1% | 7.5% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Granstrom | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 11.1% | 16.6% | 18.0% | 18.3% | 12.3% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Kati Cheung | 0.4% | 0.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 8.0% | 12.4% | 15.7% | 21.0% | 17.0% | 9.7% | 3.9% |
| Jack Webb | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 12.7% | 22.7% | 26.1% | 19.4% |
| Nicholas Daniel | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 13.4% | 24.7% | 45.0% |
| Jonathan Watzka | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 17.3% | 28.2% | 30.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.