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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.85+4.64vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.42+0.63vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.19+0.51vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.18+2.93vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.49+3.75vs Predicted
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6Tulane University0.51+2.84vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.07+0.14vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.31-1.35vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii0.51+0.05vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75-1.43vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island-0.20-0.02vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida0.99-4.36vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy0.20-3.20vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College-0.13-2.97vs Predicted
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15Princeton University-0.79-2.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.64Brown University1.857.7%1st Place
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2.63Yale University2.4233.1%1st Place
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3.51Stanford University2.1920.2%1st Place
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6.93Northeastern University1.186.2%1st Place
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8.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.493.5%1st Place
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8.84Tulane University0.513.0%1st Place
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7.14George Washington University1.075.1%1st Place
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6.65Roger Williams University1.316.2%1st Place
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9.05University of Hawaii0.512.9%1st Place
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8.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.753.4%1st Place
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10.98University of Rhode Island-0.201.7%1st Place
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7.64University of South Florida0.993.8%1st Place
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9.8Maine Maritime Academy0.202.1%1st Place
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11.03Connecticut College-0.130.8%1st Place
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12.84Princeton University-0.790.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Hamilton | 7.7% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 33.1% | 23.8% | 17.6% | 11.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Fisher | 20.2% | 20.0% | 17.8% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Ella Demand | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 3.0% |
| Mira Herlihy | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 3.9% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Tavia Smith | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Martha Schuessler | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 3.9% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 2.8% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 16.9% | 16.2% |
| Kalea Woodard | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Ella Beauregard | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 7.4% |
| Lilly Saffer | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 17.6% | 14.9% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 16.0% | 45.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.