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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.84+2.25vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin2.65-0.52vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame1.24-0.22vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota-2.00+4.08vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame-1.04+1.15vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-1.21+0.46vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin-0.11-2.45vs Predicted
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8Hillsdale College-2.000.00vs Predicted
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9University of Chicago-1.87-1.16vs Predicted
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10Marquette University-3.66+1.05vs Predicted
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11Ohio State University-2.44-2.17vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan-3.49-1.11vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan-4.00-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.25University of Wisconsin0.840.1%1st Place
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1.48University of Wisconsin2.650.7%1st Place
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2.78University of Notre Dame1.240.1%1st Place
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8.08University of Minnesota-2.000.0%1st Place
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6.15University of Notre Dame-1.040.0%1st Place
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6.46Marquette University-1.210.0%1st Place
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4.55University of Wisconsin-0.110.0%1st Place
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8.0Hillsdale College-2.000.0%1st Place
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7.84University of Chicago-1.870.0%1st Place
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11.05Marquette University-3.660.0%1st Place
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8.83Ohio State University-2.440.0%1st Place
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10.89University of Michigan-3.490.0%1st Place
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11.64University of Michigan-4.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Kelly | 10.5% | 21.5% | 28.9% | 20.9% | 11.0% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Spencer | 65.8% | 23.7% | 8.0% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gallagher | 13.7% | 33.5% | 25.8% | 17.7% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Granstrom | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 14.8% | 15.6% | 11.6% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| James Kennedy | 1.9% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 11.4% | 15.5% | 19.3% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 9.5% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Colin Higgins | 1.1% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 14.5% | 15.7% | 18.3% | 13.8% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack Barnes | 4.4% | 9.0% | 15.0% | 22.4% | 20.6% | 14.6% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pearce Pomerleau | 0.4% | 1.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 18.4% | 14.8% | 8.9% | 4.3% | 0.8% |
| Joyce Passananti | 0.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 14.9% | 16.1% | 14.4% | 15.0% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Jonathan Watzka | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 17.7% | 26.9% | 27.9% |
| Kati Cheung | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 17.4% | 17.5% | 16.1% | 8.0% | 2.6% |
| Jack Webb | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 9.4% | 20.1% | 27.8% | 22.9% |
| Nicholas Daniel | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 7.4% | 13.2% | 24.6% | 43.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.