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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.84+2.24vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin2.65-0.53vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame1.24-0.22vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-1.21+2.53vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin-0.11-0.48vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-1.04+0.17vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota-2.00+0.99vs Predicted
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8University of Chicago-1.87-0.23vs Predicted
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9Marquette University-3.66+2.11vs Predicted
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10Ohio State University-2.44-1.11vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan-3.49-0.27vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan-4.00-0.35vs Predicted
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13Hillsdale College-2.00-4.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.24University of Wisconsin0.840.1%1st Place
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1.47University of Wisconsin2.650.7%1st Place
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2.78University of Notre Dame1.240.1%1st Place
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6.53Marquette University-1.210.0%1st Place
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4.52University of Wisconsin-0.110.0%1st Place
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6.17University of Notre Dame-1.040.0%1st Place
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7.99University of Minnesota-2.000.0%1st Place
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7.77University of Chicago-1.870.0%1st Place
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11.11Marquette University-3.660.0%1st Place
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8.89Ohio State University-2.440.0%1st Place
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10.73University of Michigan-3.490.0%1st Place
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11.65University of Michigan-4.000.0%1st Place
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8.17Hillsdale College-2.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Kelly | 10.3% | 22.6% | 26.8% | 22.3% | 11.4% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Spencer | 66.8% | 23.3% | 7.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gallagher | 13.5% | 33.4% | 26.8% | 17.5% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Higgins | 1.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 8.2% | 16.9% | 16.7% | 16.1% | 14.2% | 10.3% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Jack Barnes | 4.2% | 8.5% | 16.9% | 22.0% | 20.2% | 14.6% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Kennedy | 1.2% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 11.1% | 14.9% | 19.0% | 16.3% | 12.3% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Granstrom | 0.7% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 15.4% | 14.7% | 11.2% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Joyce Passananti | 0.5% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 15.9% | 16.3% | 13.0% | 8.4% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Jonathan Watzka | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 9.7% | 14.7% | 27.9% | 30.0% |
| Kati Cheung | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 14.9% | 18.2% | 15.2% | 10.0% | 3.4% |
| Jack Webb | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 11.7% | 22.4% | 25.0% | 19.0% |
| Nicholas Daniel | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 13.4% | 24.8% | 44.3% |
| Pearce Pomerleau | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 16.1% | 17.1% | 9.5% | 4.8% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.