Race 1A

ny-maritime-fall-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Michael Munger 20.6% 17.7% 17.6% 13.2% 11.6% 8.3% 5.4% 3.3% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Clayton Snyder 11.7% 13.0% 11.2% 13.1% 13.2% 12.1% 9.2% 8.6% 5.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.0%
Thomas Capozzi 5.5% 5.0% 4.7% 6.6% 7.3% 8.4% 10.5% 14.6% 18.5% 13.5% 4.4% 1.0%
Luke Welker 7.3% 8.9% 10.5% 10.5% 10.9% 12.3% 12.3% 11.4% 9.7% 4.7% 1.5% 0.0%
Gerard Eastman 12.6% 13.6% 14.5% 12.9% 12.7% 10.2% 9.9% 6.8% 4.4% 2.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Juan Lejarraga 10.8% 11.3% 10.6% 13.2% 11.2% 12.8% 12.4% 9.2% 5.5% 2.9% 0.0% 0.1%
Louis Margay 13.4% 12.7% 12.9% 12.3% 10.2% 12.7% 9.6% 8.4% 5.7% 1.4% 0.7% 0.0%
Scott Gittens 11.1% 10.1% 10.7% 10.0% 11.1% 11.5% 12.1% 10.5% 7.7% 3.9% 1.2% 0.1%
Isabel De La Torre 1.1% 1.2% 0.6% 1.2% 2.0% 2.6% 3.7% 5.7% 11.8% 26.4% 26.3% 17.4%
Nick Chisari 4.4% 4.5% 5.0% 5.9% 7.6% 7.0% 10.8% 15.2% 18.2% 14.2% 5.6% 1.6%
Jennifer Suter 0.9% 0.7% 1.0% 0.5% 0.6% 1.0% 1.6% 2.8% 6.3% 12.0% 29.0% 43.6%
Dane Brazinski 0.6% 1.3% 0.7% 0.6% 1.6% 1.1% 2.5% 3.5% 4.8% 16.5% 30.6% 36.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.