Race 2A

ny-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Juan Lejarraga 11.2% 10.2% 10.7% 12.1% 11.9% 12.5% 13.0% 9.0% 6.5% 2.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Luke Welker 7.6% 9.2% 9.7% 9.6% 11.2% 11.2% 13.8% 13.4% 9.0% 4.6% 0.7% 0.0%
Michael Munger 22.5% 17.6% 15.5% 14.5% 12.0% 6.9% 6.5% 2.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Gerard Eastman 11.8% 15.0% 13.6% 14.1% 11.2% 11.0% 9.3% 6.9% 5.0% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Clayton Snyder 11.7% 13.4% 13.4% 11.6% 11.1% 12.4% 8.6% 7.4% 6.7% 3.1% 0.5% 0.1%
Louis Margay 12.9% 11.9% 12.6% 11.7% 11.8% 13.2% 9.4% 7.9% 6.0% 2.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Isabel De La Torre 1.5% 1.4% 2.0% 1.3% 2.6% 2.0% 3.8% 6.3% 10.3% 23.5% 28.8% 16.5%
Scott Gittens 11.1% 11.3% 9.5% 11.1% 9.3% 11.5% 10.5% 12.8% 7.0% 4.9% 1.0% 0.0%
Thomas Capozzi 3.7% 4.0% 7.0% 5.7% 10.0% 8.7% 12.1% 13.4% 17.5% 13.8% 3.6% 0.5%
Nick Chisari 4.4% 4.5% 4.5% 6.2% 7.4% 7.6% 9.6% 14.6% 19.3% 14.1% 6.5% 1.3%
Jennifer Suter 1.0% 0.5% 1.0% 0.8% 0.6% 1.1% 1.6% 2.4% 5.4% 14.4% 27.2% 44.0%
Dane Brazinski 0.6% 1.0% 0.5% 1.3% 0.9% 1.9% 1.8% 3.3% 5.7% 14.8% 30.6% 37.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.