Race 3A

ny-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Louis Margay 11.9% 11.4% 12.3% 12.8% 11.6% 12.5% 11.1% 8.3% 5.7% 1.9% 0.5% 0.0%
Juan Lejarraga 10.0% 12.0% 13.1% 10.3% 10.9% 13.0% 12.5% 8.3% 6.3% 3.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Michael Munger 22.5% 17.7% 15.1% 14.6% 10.8% 7.8% 6.8% 3.1% 1.5% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Gerard Eastman 11.5% 15.2% 12.8% 13.8% 12.6% 11.1% 9.9% 5.8% 5.0% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Scott Gittens 9.1% 9.9% 11.0% 10.6% 12.3% 10.3% 11.9% 11.2% 8.0% 3.9% 1.5% 0.3%
Luke Welker 9.2% 8.1% 9.2% 9.4% 11.3% 11.4% 11.4% 13.4% 9.8% 5.4% 1.3% 0.1%
Jennifer Suter 1.2% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 1.1% 2.1% 2.2% 3.1% 5.0% 15.0% 28.0% 40.1%
Thomas Capozzi 6.0% 4.5% 4.9% 6.3% 7.6% 10.0% 9.2% 14.9% 18.9% 11.7% 5.1% 0.9%
Clayton Snyder 11.5% 14.3% 13.3% 12.9% 13.2% 9.9% 10.8% 8.3% 4.3% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Nick Chisari 5.2% 4.2% 4.6% 5.9% 6.2% 8.0% 9.4% 16.8% 17.9% 14.5% 5.5% 1.8%
Dane Brazinski 1.1% 0.5% 0.8% 1.3% 1.0% 1.4% 1.8% 2.2% 7.6% 14.6% 29.6% 38.1%
Isabel De La Torre 0.8% 1.3% 2.1% 1.6% 1.4% 2.5% 3.0% 4.6% 10.0% 26.4% 27.6% 18.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.