Race 4A

ny-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Gerard Eastman 13.3% 13.3% 12.4% 14.4% 11.4% 12.1% 10.0% 7.3% 3.4% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Juan Lejarraga 10.2% 12.1% 11.6% 11.5% 12.7% 11.7% 10.7% 10.3% 5.7% 3.0% 0.5% 0.0%
Michael Munger 21.7% 18.3% 15.8% 13.2% 12.1% 8.6% 5.5% 3.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Thomas Capozzi 4.1% 4.8% 5.3% 6.3% 8.3% 9.8% 9.1% 16.2% 17.9% 12.7% 4.7% 0.8%
Isabel De La Torre 0.9% 1.1% 1.5% 1.9% 2.6% 2.5% 3.7% 5.4% 11.2% 21.5% 26.4% 21.3%
Nick Chisari 4.4% 4.2% 5.8% 5.4% 5.9% 7.8% 10.2% 13.4% 20.8% 15.2% 5.8% 1.1%
Scott Gittens 9.8% 11.4% 10.4% 10.6% 11.4% 10.9% 12.3% 10.2% 7.8% 4.4% 0.5% 0.3%
Clayton Snyder 13.9% 12.6% 12.7% 11.5% 10.6% 12.5% 9.6% 8.6% 4.0% 3.4% 0.6% 0.0%
Jennifer Suter 0.5% 0.6% 0.7% 1.0% 1.1% 0.7% 1.4% 3.1% 6.5% 14.9% 28.4% 41.1%
Luke Welker 9.0% 8.6% 10.8% 9.8% 10.9% 10.2% 14.0% 10.5% 10.5% 5.0% 0.7% 0.0%
Louis Margay 11.5% 12.5% 11.6% 13.4% 12.0% 11.3% 11.5% 8.1% 5.1% 2.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Dane Brazinski 0.7% 0.5% 1.4% 1.0% 1.0% 1.9% 2.0% 3.8% 6.0% 14.9% 31.4% 35.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.