Race 5A

ny-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Michael Munger 21.5% 16.9% 16.9% 14.1% 10.5% 8.9% 4.8% 3.9% 2.0% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Louis Margay 11.5% 13.8% 12.6% 12.3% 12.2% 11.3% 10.3% 8.9% 5.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Nick Chisari 4.8% 4.7% 4.5% 6.3% 6.3% 7.9% 10.1% 13.5% 19.8% 14.8% 5.6% 1.7%
Luke Welker 7.1% 8.6% 11.2% 9.2% 11.9% 11.5% 11.8% 10.7% 11.0% 5.6% 1.3% 0.1%
Juan Lejarraga 11.2% 11.4% 11.3% 11.9% 12.4% 10.8% 11.2% 8.5% 7.1% 3.5% 0.7% 0.0%
Gerard Eastman 13.3% 14.3% 12.4% 12.4% 11.9% 12.5% 10.0% 7.9% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Clayton Snyder 13.8% 11.6% 13.0% 11.8% 11.1% 11.8% 10.7% 9.4% 4.3% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Scott Gittens 10.9% 11.0% 9.8% 10.9% 10.1% 10.8% 13.1% 10.7% 7.5% 3.6% 1.5% 0.1%
Thomas Capozzi 3.7% 4.6% 4.6% 7.5% 9.3% 10.0% 11.2% 15.0% 18.6% 11.0% 4.2% 0.3%
Isabel De La Torre 0.7% 1.3% 2.0% 2.2% 2.9% 1.4% 2.7% 6.0% 10.3% 25.7% 26.1% 18.7%
Jennifer Suter 0.9% 0.7% 1.0% 0.5% 0.7% 1.0% 1.8% 2.6% 5.3% 13.3% 29.4% 42.8%
Dane Brazinski 0.6% 1.1% 0.7% 0.9% 0.7% 2.1% 2.3% 2.9% 5.2% 17.3% 29.9% 36.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.