Race 6A

ny-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Michael Munger 20.1% 19.1% 16.3% 12.2% 13.0% 7.5% 5.8% 3.4% 2.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Juan Lejarraga 10.3% 11.2% 13.7% 11.1% 10.7% 13.0% 11.0% 9.7% 6.9% 2.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Clayton Snyder 13.3% 11.1% 12.2% 12.4% 10.5% 11.7% 11.3% 11.0% 5.0% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Scott Gittens 8.1% 10.0% 11.6% 10.3% 11.5% 12.4% 10.8% 10.8% 9.5% 3.5% 1.5% 0.0%
Louis Margay 12.7% 13.0% 11.3% 12.8% 12.7% 10.9% 10.1% 8.5% 4.8% 2.8% 0.3% 0.1%
Isabel De La Torre 1.4% 1.1% 0.6% 1.8% 2.8% 3.4% 3.6% 4.8% 7.9% 25.1% 30.9% 16.6%
Thomas Capozzi 4.5% 6.0% 5.1% 7.5% 6.8% 8.2% 11.8% 13.2% 18.6% 12.9% 4.7% 0.7%
Gerard Eastman 16.2% 13.9% 12.0% 12.5% 12.0% 10.0% 9.5% 7.3% 4.7% 1.6% 0.2% 0.1%
Luke Welker 7.5% 9.2% 11.3% 12.1% 10.5% 11.4% 12.2% 11.3% 9.9% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1%
Dane Brazinski 0.6% 0.4% 1.2% 1.4% 2.1% 1.7% 2.3% 2.6% 6.1% 17.2% 30.1% 34.3%
Jennifer Suter 1.0% 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 0.7% 1.0% 1.7% 3.7% 4.6% 14.4% 24.6% 46.2%
Nick Chisari 4.3% 4.5% 3.9% 5.1% 6.7% 8.8% 9.9% 13.7% 19.9% 14.9% 6.4% 1.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.