Race 7A

ny-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Michael Munger 20.4% 18.2% 18.0% 13.4% 11.0% 7.5% 5.2% 4.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Clayton Snyder 11.0% 13.9% 13.1% 12.0% 13.3% 10.2% 9.8% 9.4% 5.1% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Gerard Eastman 15.0% 11.4% 13.6% 12.0% 12.5% 11.8% 11.4% 7.7% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Juan Lejarraga 10.7% 10.5% 13.2% 12.2% 10.5% 11.8% 10.7% 9.8% 7.4% 2.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Luke Welker 8.0% 9.9% 9.2% 11.1% 9.1% 12.6% 12.2% 11.2% 11.0% 4.3% 1.3% 0.1%
Scott Gittens 9.5% 10.3% 9.2% 10.3% 11.3% 12.1% 12.4% 10.3% 10.2% 3.8% 0.6% 0.0%
Nick Chisari 4.5% 5.4% 4.5% 6.1% 7.4% 8.0% 10.1% 12.9% 19.3% 14.0% 6.3% 1.5%
Louis Margay 14.7% 13.3% 11.4% 12.3% 9.9% 11.7% 9.2% 9.4% 5.6% 2.0% 0.5% 0.0%
Thomas Capozzi 4.0% 4.4% 6.0% 6.5% 10.3% 8.3% 11.3% 14.0% 18.1% 13.2% 3.3% 0.6%
Jennifer Suter 0.4% 0.4% 0.6% 1.6% 1.7% 1.9% 2.2% 2.1% 3.9% 15.1% 27.6% 42.5%
Isabel De La Torre 1.3% 1.1% 0.9% 1.6% 1.7% 2.3% 3.2% 5.7% 9.2% 24.0% 30.1% 18.9%
Dane Brazinski 0.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.9% 1.3% 1.8% 2.3% 3.2% 5.0% 17.5% 29.6% 36.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.