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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University0.49+6.44vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.57+2.13vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.01+3.02vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.12+4.49vs Predicted
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50.64+1.95vs Predicted
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6George Washington University0.47+1.27vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii0.47+0.33vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University-0.17+1.71vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.68-2.17vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida0.83-3.42vs Predicted
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11Stanford University1.00-5.29vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College-1.05+0.02vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy-0.48-2.77vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.18-5.77vs Predicted
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15Princeton University-1.62-1.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.44Roger Williams University0.495.8%1st Place
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4.13Yale University1.5720.0%1st Place
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6.02Brown University1.018.7%1st Place
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8.49University of Rhode Island0.124.2%1st Place
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6.950.647.4%1st Place
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7.27George Washington University0.476.6%1st Place
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7.33University of Hawaii0.477.0%1st Place
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9.71Northeastern University-0.173.9%1st Place
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6.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.687.4%1st Place
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6.58University of South Florida0.837.2%1st Place
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5.71Stanford University1.0011.3%1st Place
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12.02Connecticut College-1.051.5%1st Place
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10.23Maine Maritime Academy-0.483.2%1st Place
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8.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.185.1%1st Place
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13.06Princeton University-1.620.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine McGagh | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Audrey Foley | 20.0% | 16.4% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sidney Moyer | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 2.6% |
| Lola Kohl | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Hayden Clary | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Malia Johnson | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Sylvia Burns | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 5.7% |
| Sophia Woodbury | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Grace Jones | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Ava Cornell | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Viola Henry | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 24.5% | 25.6% |
| Simone Ford | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 15.1% | 15.3% | 8.6% |
| Meara Conley | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 2.1% |
| Kate Feiner | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 8.9% | 16.6% | 50.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.