Race 8A

ny-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Scott Gittens 8.9% 9.0% 10.7% 9.3% 11.1% 14.5% 12.7% 11.3% 7.5% 3.9% 0.9% 0.2%
Michael Munger 20.3% 20.2% 14.6% 15.5% 9.7% 8.3% 6.5% 3.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Nick Chisari 4.5% 5.0% 3.8% 7.0% 7.0% 7.5% 8.4% 16.5% 19.2% 14.4% 5.8% 0.9%
Clayton Snyder 10.6% 13.4% 13.7% 11.9% 11.8% 11.9% 10.9% 7.4% 5.9% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Luke Welker 7.9% 9.6% 9.5% 10.4% 11.7% 10.5% 12.6% 12.3% 9.0% 5.2% 1.2% 0.1%
Gerard Eastman 13.6% 13.4% 14.1% 11.0% 13.4% 12.3% 8.8% 7.7% 3.7% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Louis Margay 13.8% 11.4% 12.8% 12.8% 11.9% 11.5% 9.8% 7.7% 5.6% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Juan Lejarraga 12.8% 10.8% 12.1% 11.6% 11.8% 10.9% 11.5% 8.9% 5.9% 3.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Jennifer Suter 0.7% 0.5% 1.0% 0.6% 0.9% 0.9% 1.3% 3.3% 5.9% 14.5% 30.0% 40.4%
Thomas Capozzi 5.1% 4.0% 5.9% 7.6% 7.2% 8.6% 12.6% 13.5% 17.4% 12.3% 4.6% 1.2%
Dane Brazinski 0.9% 1.0% 0.8% 0.7% 1.1% 1.0% 2.1% 3.6% 5.8% 15.7% 28.6% 38.7%
Isabel De La Torre 0.9% 1.7% 1.0% 1.6% 2.4% 2.1% 2.8% 4.8% 12.6% 24.3% 27.5% 18.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.