Race 9A

ny-maritime-fall-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Michael Munger 21.5% 18.2% 16.0% 13.6% 11.3% 8.4% 5.3% 3.3% 1.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Louis Margay 11.8% 15.0% 11.3% 11.2% 12.2% 12.7% 9.6% 8.3% 5.5% 1.8% 0.6% 0.0%
Gerard Eastman 15.5% 10.8% 14.2% 11.1% 12.8% 11.1% 10.4% 9.2% 3.4% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Juan Lejarraga 9.9% 11.6% 12.4% 12.3% 10.9% 11.4% 11.2% 10.3% 6.1% 3.1% 0.8% 0.0%
Luke Welker 8.1% 10.5% 9.2% 9.7% 11.4% 10.6% 12.3% 11.0% 11.0% 5.3% 0.9% 0.0%
Scott Gittens 10.1% 9.4% 8.6% 10.4% 12.3% 11.6% 10.6% 13.0% 9.5% 3.7% 0.7% 0.1%
Nick Chisari 4.5% 4.5% 4.3% 7.8% 7.9% 6.8% 9.5% 13.6% 18.7% 15.0% 6.3% 1.1%
Isabel De La Torre 0.9% 0.4% 2.3% 2.1% 2.8% 3.5% 2.8% 5.3% 10.9% 22.6% 29.0% 17.4%
Clayton Snyder 11.4% 13.8% 16.1% 12.8% 8.9% 11.6% 12.0% 6.7% 4.6% 2.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Jennifer Suter 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 1.2% 2.1% 1.5% 2.5% 2.0% 4.5% 15.0% 26.5% 43.2%
Dane Brazinski 1.0% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.9% 1.8% 1.8% 3.7% 5.9% 15.2% 30.6% 36.7%
Thomas Capozzi 4.9% 4.5% 4.2% 7.0% 6.5% 9.0% 12.0% 13.6% 18.2% 14.2% 4.4% 1.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.