Race 10A

ny-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Michael Munger 21.6% 17.8% 16.0% 14.4% 9.4% 9.8% 5.3% 3.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Gerard Eastman 12.9% 15.0% 13.3% 12.3% 13.1% 8.7% 11.4% 6.6% 4.6% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Luke Welker 9.7% 7.3% 10.9% 8.0% 10.3% 11.9% 13.6% 12.5% 10.4% 4.6% 0.7% 0.1%
Nick Chisari 3.4% 4.2% 4.5% 5.7% 7.7% 9.3% 9.9% 14.0% 18.7% 14.6% 6.6% 1.4%
Juan Lejarraga 11.0% 11.9% 11.5% 11.5% 13.2% 10.2% 9.9% 10.0% 6.7% 3.5% 0.6% 0.0%
Louis Margay 12.2% 12.5% 12.7% 12.0% 11.2% 12.0% 11.1% 8.7% 5.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Clayton Snyder 13.6% 12.6% 11.6% 12.7% 11.4% 12.3% 9.8% 8.4% 5.1% 1.6% 0.9% 0.0%
Thomas Capozzi 5.2% 5.6% 5.0% 7.0% 7.1% 7.9% 10.6% 15.4% 17.9% 12.6% 4.4% 1.3%
Scott Gittens 8.3% 10.4% 12.4% 12.2% 11.6% 12.1% 11.3% 10.7% 7.3% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1%
Jennifer Suter 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 1.3% 2.1% 1.6% 2.3% 2.2% 5.1% 15.3% 26.8% 42.1%
Isabel De La Torre 1.3% 1.4% 0.7% 1.9% 1.9% 2.0% 2.9% 5.7% 10.2% 24.8% 27.9% 19.3%
Dane Brazinski 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 1.0% 1.0% 2.2% 1.9% 2.7% 6.5% 15.9% 30.8% 35.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.