Race 11A

ny-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Michael Munger 20.6% 17.7% 17.8% 13.4% 10.6% 8.2% 6.8% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Gerard Eastman 13.6% 13.7% 14.0% 13.3% 12.0% 10.2% 9.0% 7.4% 5.4% 1.2% 0.1% 0.1%
Nick Chisari 4.9% 4.3% 4.7% 5.7% 6.4% 8.5% 10.5% 12.8% 20.5% 15.2% 5.4% 1.1%
Isabel De La Torre 0.6% 0.9% 1.2% 1.9% 2.6% 2.4% 3.1% 5.7% 11.1% 25.1% 25.6% 19.8%
Scott Gittens 8.9% 10.6% 9.6% 12.0% 11.0% 12.7% 10.3% 11.5% 7.9% 4.6% 0.9% 0.0%
Juan Lejarraga 11.1% 11.5% 9.8% 11.8% 13.2% 11.2% 12.9% 10.3% 5.3% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Clayton Snyder 13.2% 11.8% 14.9% 11.5% 9.4% 13.7% 9.7% 7.8% 5.4% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Thomas Capozzi 5.1% 6.3% 5.4% 5.2% 8.0% 9.0% 10.8% 14.5% 18.1% 10.1% 6.5% 1.0%
Jennifer Suter 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 0.8% 1.0% 0.7% 2.4% 3.3% 4.5% 15.2% 31.3% 39.0%
Luke Welker 8.5% 10.2% 8.6% 9.8% 12.5% 11.4% 10.9% 12.3% 9.7% 4.5% 1.4% 0.2%
Dane Brazinski 1.1% 0.6% 1.1% 0.3% 1.4% 1.2% 2.2% 3.0% 6.2% 16.4% 27.8% 38.7%
Louis Margay 11.9% 11.7% 12.3% 14.3% 11.9% 10.8% 11.4% 8.0% 4.8% 2.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.