Race 12A

ny-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Luke Welker 7.9% 9.1% 9.2% 10.9% 10.1% 11.1% 12.3% 13.5% 9.7% 4.1% 2.0% 0.1%
Gerard Eastman 13.1% 14.9% 12.6% 12.4% 12.9% 10.9% 11.1% 6.7% 4.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Scott Gittens 9.7% 9.4% 10.2% 9.8% 11.6% 12.3% 12.8% 11.3% 7.9% 4.3% 0.6% 0.1%
Clayton Snyder 11.0% 12.8% 13.8% 12.3% 12.0% 11.3% 9.4% 8.2% 6.0% 2.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Michael Munger 22.6% 17.9% 14.9% 13.9% 12.4% 6.3% 5.5% 3.9% 1.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Nick Chisari 3.6% 5.1% 5.3% 6.1% 5.7% 7.1% 10.9% 13.3% 19.0% 15.2% 7.7% 1.0%
Isabel De La Torre 1.6% 1.6% 1.4% 2.3% 1.5% 2.4% 3.5% 6.6% 9.4% 25.8% 26.6% 17.3%
Jennifer Suter 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.6% 1.6% 2.0% 2.2% 3.3% 6.7% 13.0% 25.3% 43.6%
Louis Margay 12.5% 11.6% 16.2% 14.1% 10.2% 11.9% 10.0% 7.1% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Juan Lejarraga 11.1% 12.0% 11.8% 10.8% 11.5% 14.0% 9.2% 9.4% 7.3% 2.1% 0.7% 0.1%
Dane Brazinski 1.0% 0.8% 0.7% 1.0% 1.0% 1.2% 2.3% 3.1% 5.4% 16.6% 30.1% 36.8%
Thomas Capozzi 5.3% 4.2% 3.4% 5.8% 9.5% 9.5% 10.8% 13.6% 18.3% 12.6% 6.0% 1.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.