Race 1B

ny-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Phillip Schofield 19.2% 21.6% 20.1% 17.6% 9.7% 7.1% 3.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Kyle Easton 41.4% 28.1% 16.6% 7.8% 4.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cameron Wallace 5.6% 7.1% 9.9% 10.9% 13.8% 16.3% 15.0% 12.4% 6.4% 1.9% 0.7% 0.0%
Sam Johnsen 11.8% 17.3% 19.6% 17.7% 13.8% 9.8% 5.8% 3.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Clara Guarascio 2.5% 4.3% 3.4% 6.7% 9.9% 12.7% 14.0% 15.8% 15.3% 9.6% 5.1% 0.7%
Max Balanevsky 6.9% 9.7% 9.7% 12.2% 15.5% 15.0% 13.5% 9.2% 6.3% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Antonia Leggett 2.3% 2.4% 4.1% 5.0% 5.6% 9.8% 13.3% 14.9% 18.7% 14.4% 7.3% 2.2%
Samuel Parsons 1.6% 1.6% 3.5% 4.3% 6.7% 5.2% 10.5% 13.9% 18.6% 19.8% 11.6% 2.7%
Charlotte Smith 0.8% 1.1% 0.9% 1.3% 1.8% 4.4% 6.7% 10.1% 14.5% 23.5% 25.1% 9.8%
Galen Ng 0.4% 0.2% 1.2% 2.5% 2.6% 3.1% 2.5% 6.8% 9.5% 18.3% 32.9% 20.0%
Martino An 0.6% 0.4% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.8% 1.0% 2.5% 4.3% 7.6% 16.7% 64.5%
Jack Carminati 6.9% 6.2% 10.6% 13.4% 15.2% 14.9% 14.4% 10.2% 5.1% 2.6% 0.4% 0.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.