Race 2B

ny-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Kyle Easton 40.2% 28.3% 16.5% 8.1% 4.6% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sam Johnsen 12.7% 16.7% 18.1% 18.9% 13.9% 10.1% 5.4% 2.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Cameron Wallace 6.4% 7.4% 8.4% 12.2% 12.3% 16.7% 15.2% 11.8% 7.3% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Clara Guarascio 1.8% 3.8% 3.9% 6.7% 11.6% 11.6% 15.5% 15.0% 14.8% 11.2% 3.6% 0.5%
Phillip Schofield 19.5% 20.8% 22.1% 15.4% 10.4% 6.5% 3.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Max Balanevsky 6.0% 9.1% 11.3% 12.0% 17.0% 14.2% 13.2% 10.3% 4.1% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Charlotte Smith 1.4% 0.9% 1.8% 2.3% 2.5% 3.7% 5.7% 9.2% 14.4% 21.7% 25.6% 10.8%
Jack Carminati 6.7% 8.6% 10.0% 14.0% 14.2% 15.0% 13.4% 9.5% 5.7% 2.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Samuel Parsons 2.3% 1.4% 2.1% 3.9% 5.3% 7.8% 12.0% 13.5% 20.4% 19.7% 10.0% 1.6%
Antonia Leggett 1.6% 2.2% 4.4% 5.0% 6.1% 9.6% 11.9% 17.3% 17.6% 14.9% 7.9% 1.5%
Galen Ng 1.1% 0.5% 0.8% 1.0% 1.4% 2.4% 3.3% 6.2% 9.6% 18.8% 32.7% 22.2%
Martino An 0.3% 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% 0.7% 0.9% 0.8% 2.4% 4.5% 6.4% 19.2% 63.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.